Druid app

This app is supposed to measure cognitive impairment from alcohol, drugs, and fatigue.

Grounded in cognitive neuroscience, Druid is a breakthrough technology. It brings you a sophisticated tool that measures impairment from any cause, including cannabis and other drugs, alcohol, fatigue, illness, injury, chronic condition, or severe stress. Druid operates like a video game while it measures hundred of neurophysiological indicators.

Google Play

Seems useful for a variety of purposes. And employers could use it for a variety of legitimate purposes, such as maybe testing pilots and surgeons? People who aren’t able to do their jobs safely because they are tired or stressed shouldn’t get fired obviously, they should get to rest. You can certainly imagine employers and law enforcement using this app abusively. As for driving safely, let’s just turn that over to the computers already.

TSA doesn’t care about your weed

Even if I were regular cannabis user (I am not, but have no moral issues with those who are unless they are driving a forklift or doing something else risky while impaired), I would not take it on a domestic flight knowing that it is still illegal under federal law. So it’s interesting that TSA has said publicly that they are not looking for it. If they happen to find it, say, because you packed it in the same bag as a weapon you were trying to smuggle on to a plane, they are just supposed to notify local police.

If the federal government really wants to, they can prosecute you as a drug trafficker even for transporting a tiny cannabis from one state where it is 100% legal to another state where it is 100% legal. The penalty for this as a first offense can be 5 years in jail and $250,000. It seems unlikely they would do this, but is a risk worth taking? If they are after you for some other reason and you happen to have committed this offense, it seems like they could use this charge as a major bargaining chip to secure your cooperation.

Now, on international flights, I really would not take it. For example, last time I went to Singapore (around a decade now) they still had that sign in baggage claim that says “death to drug dealers”. Let’s say I had a substance in my backpack in the past that was 100% legal in the time and place I purchased it, and let’s say a drug sniffing dog at a foreign airport can still detect that today. At a minimum this seems likely to increase your chances of getting searched, hassled, and having your time wasted when traveling.

What’s REALLY risky, of course, from a health perspective, is consuming a pill or other substance when you don’t know for sure exactly what it is, what the dose it, or where it came from. This alone is a reason to legalize almost everything, in my view. Then add to that all the violence that has occurred on U.S. streets and on both sides of the border to supply products that are obviously in high demand. Add in the racial biases that cause people to be treated differently. The war on drugs is just a dumb failure. Let’s end it. Legalize, tax, and make addiction and substance abuse a problem for the health care system (oh, the U.S. should really get itself one of these!)

gun sales as an indicator of social unrest

This article is from ProPublica, so you can take this person’s opinion on root causes however you want. But numbers are numbers, and checkable. Here are some numbers:

  • “According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, guns became the leading killer of children in 2020, overtaking car crashes, drug overdoses and disease for the first time in the nation’s history.”
  • “And then Barack Obama won in 2008. So you have this sort of uncapping of hate and conspiracy, much of it racially driven, that the NRA was tapping into. Prior to 2007, people in the United States never purchased more than 7 million guns in a single year. By the time Barack Obama left office, the United States was purchasing almost 17 million guns a year. And so I think it’s impossible to discount the degree to which Obama’s presidency lit this whole thing on fire.”
  • “But with Trump, we experienced a whole new, never seen before level of fear, racism, hatred and conspiracy that culminated in 2020. In that year, you had George Floyd, COVID lockdownsBlack Lives MatterAntifa protests and Kyle Rittenhouse. I mean, it’s the most tumultuous year any of us can remember with the most hatred and conspiracy and nastiness. None of us can remember a year like that. In that year, the United States consumers bought almost 23 million guns in a single year, more than three times as much as before Barack Obama took office.”

land value tax plan

Detroit is considering a land value tax.

The proposal, dubbed the Land Value Tax Plan, would increase taxes on land while reducing taxes on homes and structures by an expected 30%, or roughly $38 million total. This would apply to every neighborhood in Michigan’s largest city, requires no application and never expires.

If approved by the Michigan Legislature, and later by Detroit voters, Duggan said, the plan would provide relief to homeowners who have been struggling under the burden of high taxes, encourage further neighborhood growth and hold land speculators accountable.

Detroit Free Press

It makes a lot of sense to me. The cynic in me has to ask, how much are the politicians that would have to vote for this in on the land speculation game? Here in Philadelphia they certainly are. But I’m not one to name names…ah hell, COUNCILMAN KENYATTA JOHNSON I’M TALKING TO YOU.

May 2023 in Review

Most frightening and/or depressing story: There are more “nuclear capable states” than I thought.

Most hopeful story: The U.S. Congress is ponying up $31 billion to give Houston a chance at a future. Many more coastal cities will need to be protected from sea level rise and intensifying storms. Now we will see if the U.S. can do coastal protection right (just ask the Dutch or Danish, no need to reinvent anything), and how many of the coastal cities it will get to before it is too late.

Most interesting story, that was not particularly frightening or hopeful, or perhaps was a mixture of both: Peter Turchin’s new book proposes four indicators presaging political instability: “stagnating or declining real wages, a growing gap between rich and poor, overproduction of young graduates with advanced degrees, declining public trust, and exploding public debt“. I found myself puzzled by the “overproduction of young graduates” part, and actually had a brief email exchange with Peter Turchin himself, which I very much appreciated! Anyway, he said the problem is not education per se but “credentialism”. I have to think some more about this, but I suppose the idea is that education, like health, wealth, and almost everything else, is not equally distributed but is being horded by a particular class which is not contributing its fair. These are my words, not Peters, and he might or might not agree with my characterization here.

parking cash out

I like this idea. It’s the kind of idea cowardly city councils across the USA can get behind because it costs them zero dollars. Just require employers providing “free” or discounted parking to their employees to let their employees opt out and receive the cash value instead. This makes more sense to me than free bus service, which is often not configured well for our urban areas (i.e., our urban areas are not configured right for transportation, but we don’t think of it this way, do we?).

“Conservatives” will support this because it is a free market solution, right? Don’t force people to pay extra taxes and fees to support other peoples’ subsidized parking. Let the market set the price of driving, parking, and all other modes of transportation. No, I’m not this naive. Conservatives generally support the status quo, even if it is demonstrably, logically and indisputably anti-free-market.

year-round school?

When I first heard ideas for year-round school, my thought was that it might be easier for working parents (the main pitch here in Philadelphia) but worse for student and teacher burnout. According to at least one advocacy organization though, the idea is to spread the year out by taking more short breaks rather than one long one. This kind of makes sense to me, but apparently a number of school districts have tried it and ended up scaling it back.

The National Association of Year Round Education advocates for districts to implement the “balanced calendar,” which shortens summer vacation and adds longer breaks called “intersessions” during the school year. The group’s suggested calendar uses a 30-day summer break and breaks for fall, winter, and spring of 15 days each, plus a three-day break for Thanksgiving…

After a long summer break, according to Hornak, teachers generally spend the first 20 to 40 days in school reteaching students to compensate for summer learning loss. With traditional school calendars, “schools are asked to remediate learning gaps that they are contributing to,” Hornak said. 

philadelphia.chalkbeat.org

For the affluent, and for the middle class willing to make some sacrifices, summer is a great time for enrichment for kids. Kids are susceptible to burnout like other human beings and deserve a break from the pressure of academics once in awhile. They can connect with nature, learn practical skills, or dive deeper into an interest like a sport or fine art, and meet like-minded kids that they might not meet other times. Work experiences and job training can be enriching if done right – but need to be careful with this one.

For working parents of limited means or just other priorities than spending all their money on private school and summer camp, school can be a godsend as a form of childcare, like it or not. School breaks can cause a lot of stress for parents who have to organize childcare and transportation to and from said childcare, without any corresponding change in their work schedules or responsibilities. Organizing childcare for a long summer break is stressful, but at least it can be done once and and then set for a few months, rather than having to do this for many short breaks during the course of the year.

For the most part, kids aren’t allowed to just run around in the woods or on city streets any more. This is probably good for their physical safety overall, and those days are not going to come back any time soon.

In an ideal world, all children would be able to have the types of enrichment experiences that affluent children have today. It could be done. It would take money and organization. Investing in children is the best investment our society can make, even from a purely hard-nosed economic perspective. It has to be the whole of society investing. It can’t be just parents of young children for a few years during what is supposed to also be their peak career years. That just doesn’t work for anyone from a financial or mental health perspective.

But affluent families vacationing in the Catskills, please just watch your teenage daughters around those “dirty dancing” instructors!

census reveals massive Philadelphia population loss – for pigeons

The (paywalled) Philadelphia Inquirer reports on a citizen science bird count showing a massive drop in the pigeon population over the last few years. At the same time, raptor populations like red-tailed hawks and Peregrine falcons are up. There are reasons the data are uncertain, but this is still pretty cool.

I’ve had some memorable raptor sitings in Philly over the years. Recently, I heard a significant commotion and looked up to see a red-tailed hawk in a tree very close to my front door. This was early spring before there were leaves on the trees, so I imagine it had a good line of site to the ground. Mice and rats were the first prey species that popped into my mind, but yeah there are pigeons around too.

Peregrine falcons are not very shy in urban environments. I remember seeing one sitting on a street map above a busy street, next to a park that I know from personal experience is full of mice, rats, and pigeons.

Once I saw a falcon that had trapped a squirrel under a bench in Rittenhouse Square. Like I said, they are not shy around people, but when the park is busy they will tend to be hire up in the trees or on buildings. This was very early in the morning, and the falcon was just sitting there on the bench with the squirrel underneath. The squirrel would try to run out, and the falcon would swoop out and try to get its talons around the squirrel, and the squirrel would slip out and dart back under the bench. Falcons are big birds. I gave this one a respectful distance, but it took no notice of me whatsoever.

the Philly mayoral election

We have a presumptive mayor-elect who won less than a third of the vote. This is because we have a first-past-the-post system. It is not a democratic system because the absolute lowest bar you can set for a democratic system is majority rule. Cherelle Parker is a Black woman who beat a Jewish woman and an Asian-American woman who (the latter two) had very similar policy positions and together won about 45% of the vote. I mention race here not because it should matter, but because racial politics are a reality in this city and some voters are never going to cross racial lines no matter what policy positions or records of achievement are on display.

https://vote.phila.gov/results/

Now, I wish presumptive Mayor-elect Parker well. I promise to give her some time and ultimately judge her by her actions and not just her rhetoric. But during her campaign, she did not speak to issues that matter most to me. She spoke mostly about violence and education. Of course, I care about violence and education. I am raising (incidentally, mixed-race, not that it should matter) children in this city. But the mayor ultimately has limited control over these issues. Nobody knows, absolutely 100%, what has caused the current spike in gun violence. You can come up with some ideas, look at the evidence for what has worked in the past and in other cities, and try some things. But Cherrelle Parker is not a candidate who talked about evaluating evidence or best practices from other cities. In fact, a large part of her campaign pitch was that other candidates had spent time in other cities and were bringing ideas from elsewhere, and Philadelphia voters do not want people from elsewhere “telling us what to do”. As for schools, they are controlled by the School District of Philadelphia, which the mayor has only some limited control over, and which is limited by decisions of state legislators, some with pointy white hoods in their closets. Again, you can look at evidence and best practices and try some things, but her campaign platform if anything had an anti-intellectual bent, and that seemed to appeal to a plurality of voters in this city. Cherelle Parker was a state legislator at one point, and she is clearly a talented, successful politician, so maybe she will have some ideas on how to get more state funding and remove barriers imposed by the anti-city pointy white hood crowd in the middle of the state.

Philadelphia has outdated sanitation practices. Mayors have 100% direct control over these practices. The trash situation is a major nuisance, and the Atlantic Ocean will be full of Philadelphia trash for 10,000 years after our civilization is gone. I am a civil engineer and an environmentalist, and I am morally outraged by this. I somewhat doubt Mayor Parker is going to fix it, but again I will give her the benefit of the doubt.

Philadelphia has outdated and, I will just say it, incompetent street design practices. Whether children are dying on our city streets from gun violence or car violence, they are dying and this is morally outrageous. I somewhat doubt Mayor Parker is going to fix it, but again I will give her the benefit of the doubt.

You see my point here. Competent leadership at the Philadelphia Streets Department, which oversees sanitation and street design and maintenance, is absolutely crucial. Our city is decades behind even average practice elsewhere in the county, let alone the world, and people and the environment are suffering as a result. Part of Cherelle Parker’s campaign pitch, which apparently resonated with voters, is that she has spent her whole life in Philadelphia and never lived anywhere else. Will she be the one to bring our city up to even average standards of safety? Prove me wrong, presumptive Mayor-elect Parker.

Here are some insights into what happened.

This is so obviously a false choice. Safe, modern street designs, along with reliable public transportation, allow people to get to work and earn a living. They keep children from dying on public streets. But people don’t see it this way. Philadelphia has a concentrated poverty problem. The field of economics predicts that people whose basic needs are not met will not be advocates for what are seen as luxuries, such as environmental quality and convenient, safe travel. People whose basic needs are not met are going to be advocates for the basic needs such as food and shelter. Then, when people whose basic needs are met advocate for a higher level of services, such as safe streets, people whose basic needs are not met resent this. People also just tend to be resistant to change, and opposition to upgrades to safe street design reflect this, even if they would mean fewer dead children.

Sadly, concentrated poverty is the result of a century or more of racist land use and housing policy. It can’t be solved within the narrow political jurisdictions where it occurs, but rather needs to be solved by some income distribution and basic service provision at the state and federal scale. The working class and middle class in Philadelphia is absolutely tapped out when it comes to taxes, so even those of us who might support some level of income redistribution at the state and federal level are struggling to get by. Meanwhile, our local politicians try to address concentrated poverty by narrowing the tax base, restricting development, and creating disincentives for affluent taxpayers to move into the city or university graduates to stay and join the tax base. We were a city of 2 million people at our peak and are down to about 1.6 million. Like it or not, growing the tax base would benefit the poor. Safe modern streets, excellent public transportation, and schools that just meet modern building codes would all help. But our politicians just can’t get out of their own way.

I love you, Philadelphia. Prove me wrong, Mayor Parker.