Tag Archives: elon musk

What did DOGE actually do?

This article is by David Walker, a former US Comptroller General.

Contrary to assertions by some, DOGE has not conducted audits. Rather, it has performed targeted and tactical transaction reviews of selected government information systems using artificial intelligence capabilities.

Its objective has been to identify possible fraud, waste, abuse and mismanagement in an effort to cut federal spending. Musk announced a goal to save $2 trillion, but this was later reduced to $1 trillion and then to $500 billion, which has still proven to be overly optimistic. DOGE now claims to have achieved about $160 billion in savings, but this number may be significantly overstated based on the evidence provided…

While DOGE has so far fallen far short of any of its financial goal, it has brought some important things to light. For example, it has uncovered a number of concrete examples of significant waste in the federal government, and it has re-exposed many of its operational problems, such as outdated information systems and inadequate internal controls. A vast majority of these operational problems were previously identified by the Government Accountability Office and various inspectors general.

So, they just tried to feed all the government’s data into an AI and identify some waste, fraud, and abuse. On the face of it, it doesn’t seem like such a terrible job to do that routinely, or just add it to the audit toolbox as this guy is suggesting. So why all the drama and general crazy?

It occurs to me though that the approach was shockingly ignorant in many ways. They seem to have assumed that nothing the government does has any benefits, only costs, and therefore any reduction in spending would be a savings. Government accounting in general does not distinguish between spending and investment, which has always been a problem. I could “save” money by not going to the dentist any more, for example, but I would pay for it many times over both in money and pain sometime in the not too distant future.

The Clinton-Gore administration executed a rational, effective, and somewhat brutal government efficiency campaign in the 1990s. You can hear about it on Planet Money: The Last Time We Shrank the Federal Workforce.

Rationally speaking, the government should step in to improve citizens’ lives where private markets are obviously not able to deliver, like on health care, child care, education, fundamental research, unemployment and disability insurance, and retirement. It should create a level playing field for businesses large and small, regulate anticompetitive practices, set minimum labor and environmental standards, maintain public safety, and provide for the common defense. It should use a portion of the value added by a healthy economy to do these things, which reinforce the healthy economy in a positive loop. I’m not a genius tech bro but these things are obvious to me.

Musk, Apartheid, and White Supremacy

I’m not sure I can or want to say anything about Musk that others have not already said. As of a few years ago, I respected him as an innovator. While the U.S. auto companies hem and haw and make inferior cars at high prices and resist electrification, he figured out how to make superior electric cars at reasonable prices and get them into widespread commercial availability. While NASA couldn’t figure out how to get back to space since the retirement of the shuttle program, and quasi public-private entity Boeing seemed to be struggling to get the U.S. back into space, Musk stepped in and made real progress on that. Now certainly, he has been adept at using U.S. government contracts to massively scale up his business, and certainly heavy lobbying must have been a big part of that strategy. The latter is immoral in my view, and yet legal under what passes for outrageously corrupt U.S. law. For an amoral corporate “person”, legal compliance substitutes for moral and ethical behavior in a human person. Corporate “persons” seem to be able to corrupt human persons to their way of thinking. All that is pretty standard big business here in the corrupt U.S. system, and I wouldn’t consider Musk to be any more immoral or unethical than other humans who have played this game successfully under the established rules.

That was a year ago. Now, he is spouting what seem to be clearly white supremacist views. You hate to stereotype the Dutch South Africans as white supremacists, but there is a group of them including Musk and Peter Thiel who grew up under the apartheid system and seem to be motivated on some level by white supremist ideology. It is the very rare human being who pursue self interest in a truly amoral manner devoid of any sense of empathy – these are called psychopaths (and I truly think Donald Trump is one). For the rest of us, it is human nature to find ways to rationalize the advantages, or blame others for the disadvantages, we have been given on the uneven playing field of life. We can tell ourselves we are smarter or harder working than others, or we can come up with theories for why our genetic makeup or religious beliefs or country of origin make us superior to others in the natural order of things. Slave traders and slave owners did this, Nazis did this, American segregationists and red-liners and sub-prime lenders and mass incarcerators did this, white South Africans did this. So when we hear words like “meritocracy” or “preference” or “mentally deficient”, we should be asking ourselves if these are code-words for the same old tired Nazi/Jim Crow/Apartheid playbook we have been struggling to get past all these decades.

A quick aside on “supremacist” and “supremist”. The former seems to be the more accepted and widely used term, but both are accepted and widely used. Here are a couple fun quotes from the article I just linked to:

“The combine are determined to register the negroes, and the white supremacists are equally determined that they shall not.” (New Orleans Times Picayune, 1896)

“The ‘white supremists,’ or regular Democrats, say that the negroes shall not register.” (Chicago Daily Inter Ocean, 1896)

Seriously, it’s 2025. Let’s not go backwards America.

so what’s new with Tesla?

Following up on my electric vehicle discussion lately, here is an article from TheWeek on Tesla. Basically, other companies have entered the field and are catching up on the electric vehicle technology itself, causing prices to drop and Tesla’s profit margin to drop along with it. Tesla’s plan has been to stay one step ahead with the shift to self-driving vehicles, particularly taxis, and this is coming along a bit slower than imagined. Their battery division also doing well.

I’m not a huge fan of Elon Musk himself, but I have always felt that he is playing by the rules of market competition and innovation, rather than trying to buy political influence, suppress competition, and fleece consumers/taxpayers as so many of our “capitalist” industries are doing these days.

December 2021 in Review

Most frightening and/or depressing story: Mass migration driven by climate change-triggered disasters could be the emerging big issue for 2022 and beyond. Geopolitical instability is a likely result, not to mention enormous human suffering.

Most hopeful story: Covid-19 seems to be “disappearing” in Japan, or at least was before the Omicron wave. Maybe lessons could be learned. It seems possible that East Asian people have at least some genetic defenses over what other ethnic groups have, but I would put my money on tight border screening and an excellent public health care system. Okay, now I’m starting to feel a bit depressed again, sitting here in the U.S. where we can’t have these nice things thanks to our ignorant politicians.

Most interesting story, that was not particularly frightening or hopeful, or perhaps was a mixture of both: Time reminded us of all the industries Elon Musk has disrupted so far: human-controlled, internal-combustion-fueled automobiles; spaceflight; infrastructure construction (I don’t know that he has really achieved any paradigm shifts here, but not for lack of trying), “artificial intelligence, neurotechnology, payment systems and cryptocurrency.” I’m not sure I follow a couple of these, but I think they missed satellites.

Time person of the year Elon Musk

Hugo Drax…I mean…Elon Musk is Time’s man…I mean…person of the year for 2021. I guess I’m okay with it, since I am interested in electric cars, self-driving cars, and space travel.

He sees his mission as solving the globe’s most intractable challenges, along the way disrupting multiple industries across two decades. These include what was once the core American creation, combustion-engine automobiles, and what was once the core American aspiration, spaceflight, as well as a litany of other manifestations of our present and future: infrastructure construction, artificial intelligence, neurotechnology, payment systems and increasingly money itself through his dalliances with cryptocurrencies.

TIme

the Hyper-tunnel

Amid all the talk of the Hyperloop, I have figured that the technology would be limited by the fact that digging tunnels is hard and expensive. It turns out, I somehow missed that Elon Musk has thrown his energy into tunneling technology too. I’m a little skeptical, but he certainly has a track record of success. I think he knows how to hire smart engineers to figure out the practical details, which is what engineers are good at, and then inject his companies with a heavy dose of big picture creative thinking and risk tolerance, which is what engineers are bad at.

Serial entrepreneur Elon Musk says his ambitious tunnel-boring endeavor, aptly named The Boring Company, has officially started digging underneath Los Angeles. Musk announced the news on Twitter, where he said “Godot,” the Samuel Beckett-inspired name of the company’s tunnel boring machine, had completed the the first segment of a tunnel in the Southern California metropolis. Prior to today, it was unclear how long it would take Musk to convince the city to allow him to move the experimental effort beyond the SpaceX parking lot in Hawthorne.

Elon Musk’s new spaceship

Here’s a video from Space X on their vision for a ship that can go to Mars and back as soon as 2025:

According to KurzweilAI:

In a talk on Tuesday at the International Astronautical Congress in Guadalajara, Mexico, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk laid out engineering details to establish a permanent, self-sustaining civilization of a million people on Mars, with an initial flight as soon as 2024.

SpaceX is designing a massive reusable Interplanetary Transport System spacecraft with cabins. The trip would initially cost $500,000 per person, with a long-term goal of 100 passengers per trip.

Musk plans to make humanity a “multiplanetary species” to ensure survival in case of a calamity like an asteroid strike. “This is really about minimizing existential risk and having a tremendous sense of adventure,” he said.