Tag Archives: 2021

Wired on the technology of 2021

The Wired Gadget Lab podcast asked what the important (consumer) technologies of 2021 were, and came up with cloud gaming, e-scooters, Peloton, and “unplugging from the internet”. Someone also mentioned the Covid-19 vaccine, which I would tend to agree with.

On cloud gaming, I am looking forward to getting back into video games (I’m middle aged and still call them that) when and if my intensive child rearing years start to slowly and gradually wind down. I used to be a fan of “real time strategy” games, and just assumed I had missed a lot of awesome ones over the last decade or so. But according to another Wired article that is not the case, as the genre has been overshadowed by other, more profitable types of games. Hopefully they will come back, because I think lots of people like them. I can also imagine hybrid games where you take direct a large-scale, long-term strategy but get to zoom in and take part in a battle or other short-term simulation when you want. Sure, this would take a lot of programming and computing power, but the technology is getting there right?

I’ve hit the Wired paywall. I like Wired, but I just can’t subscribe to everything piecemeal and have 99 little charges on my credit card each month that add up to all my money. Can somebody come up with some sort of clever cross-platform discounted bundling service for magazines, newspapers, apps, games and other subscriptions?

Okay, on e-scooters, my position is they are a menace on the sidewalk and have no place on the street. I don’t think I am turning into a grumpy old man – what I mean is our streets and sidewalks are designed with no safe place for them, except where we have safe, well-designed “bike lanes” and signals, which is almost nowhere in the United States. They’re a menace to themselves in the main travel lanes, and people zipping around on fast battery-powered devices have become pretty threatening to pedestrians on our narrow sidewalks. I am not particularly excited about getting an e-scooter, but if their proliferation means we get more safe protected lanes for bikes and scooters, I am all for them. If we get to a place where maybe one in ten people traveling from point A to point B in a city is inside a one-ton steel killing machine, but they are still taking up 90% of the space and killing our children, will our ignorant, cynical politicians and bureaucrats give us safe streets? I will try to be optimistic.

On Peloton, it looks fairly neat. I’d still prefer to exercise outside, but maybe one day I’ll give it a try, or if someone else in the house were to express an interest that might tip the scales in its favor.

I’m trying to think of a technology that changed my life in 2021. When the Apple podcast app glitched out on me after an update, I switched to Overcast and haven’t looked back. I wouldn’t call that life changing. I love my Audible audiobooks and my Kindle from 2013 that is still working just fine. I am still totally addicted to RSS feeds – Feedly is still my go-to app and I hope it and the feeds never go away (they are, though, one by one). I’m been using Microsoft OneNote for years at work. In 2021 I figured out there is a magic button that generates a meeting note template for any Microsoft Outlook meeting, with the date, subject, attendees, etc. all pre-populated. I started using OneNote for personal notes before 2021, but in 2021 I found myself using it more and more and using it across platforms. It all syncs pretty well, and being a helplessly compulsive list maker all my life I love being able to jot down a note anywhere, anytime. I use Philadelphia’s public bike share system, Indego, which works pretty well except a month or so ago I misplaced by bike helmet and haven’t gotten around to replacing it (I’ve dropped a hint with family members I hope have a line to Santa). I use a number of fitness and health tracking apps – including but not necessarily limited to Apple Health (for tracking steps and weight), Virgin Pulse (required by my employer, not necessarily recommended), LoseIt (for calorie counting), MyLimit (for blood alcohol, which to be clear is 0 most of the time but it’s interesting and useful to understand how alcohol affects the mind and body), and MyChart (for medical records). Each of these has a reason behind it, but taken together they are too much. For the month of December, I have decided to just try to maintain healthy habits but not actually track anything. I’d like to find more automated ways of collecting data on these things and reviewing it occasionally so I can consider some healthy adjustments, without opening half a dozen apps and typing things into them every day. And finally, I bought something dumb, expensive and fun called Twinkly, which is an app-controlled string of LED lights.

Project Censored Top 25 Stories of 2021

Let’s see what Project Censored has come up with as their top 25 “censored” stories of 2021. “Censored” has a broad definition here which includes “under-reported”. News stories are under-reported when there is no market for them in our mostly profit-driven media. Anyway, here are a handful that caught my eye:

  • “Coastal darkening” – I hadn’t heard this term, but it encompasses organic matter in the water (from farms and urban runoff and wastewater), algal blooms, and sediment stirred up by human activity. These are all forms of water pollution scientists and engineers have been familiar with for a long time. Solutions are known, but the scale of the problem and cost of dealing with it is difficult. Our industrialized, urbanized, heavily populated civilization creates these forms of pollution. We should appreciate that a lot of money and hard work go on behind the scenes to make these problems much, much less bad than they would be if nothing was done – wastewater treatment, etc. But still, the scale of the problem is daunting to solve completely and we prefer to pay in environmental damage which affects everybody a little bit rather than divert the money and effort it would require to solve them completely. Under the basic economic principle of scarcity, something else would have to give if we did this, at least in the near- to medium-term. In the long term, there is a virtuous cycle where once we get started, technology tends to improve and we learn by doing. But cynical politicians elected on 2-4 year cycles are not going to pitch these ideas to the public, even if they understand them.
  • The pollutants mentioned above (organic matter, nutrients, etc.) are yucky but at least biodegradable. Another article is about microplastics and PFAS in the ocean. They are going to be there until the end of time now, but we could start working on trying not to add more of them.
  • “tens of thousands of satellites” – driven by civilian communications but inevitably useful for military applications. Companies like SpaceX are getting billions of dollars of military-industrial-complex money.
  • factory farming creates a risk for future pandemics – the article is about “U.S. factory farming”, but even if we invented it, it is being done all over the world, and the scale of what is done in Asia dwarfs anything the U.S. or Europe does at this point
  • things are not good for Amazon (the rain forest)
  • You could think of the social cost of past carbon emissions by industrial economies as a kind of debt owed to countries that are less industrialized or have industrialized more recently. That would mean that they have taken up much more than their fair share of the atmosphere’s and ocean’s ability to absorb emissions over time. The US, UK and Europe would probably prefer to focus on their share of current annual emissions rather than their share of cumulative emissions since they got the first lumps of coal in their Christmas stockings and burned them a couple centuries ago.
  • The sky is up, the Earth is down, and US drug prices are still insane. The article estimates the human toll of this in terms of premature deaths.

Longreads Best of 2021

(Too)Long(didn’t)reads.com picks a best article every week, and once a year they list all of them from the past year. I probably won’t have time to really dig into many of these, but there are certainly interesting topics here and they provide a look back on the year.

  • a look back at the January 6 attack on the US Congress by a fascist mob, just a few days after it happened
  • the story of the Covid vaccine development, and on a much less happy note, the Covid carnage in US prisons, and the crisis in India as it was happening
  • “Inside Xinjiang’s Prison State” – I think I may have actually read this. What is happening there meets the UN definition of genocide and must stop. A wrinkle is that its genesis came shortly after the 9/11 attacks and U.S. invasion of Afghanistan. Almost anything could be justified as part of the Global War on Terror at the time. Xinjiang is next door to Afghanistan, and is home to a Muslim ethnic group, and within that ethnic group a resistance/terrorist group formed which perpetrated attacks on the imperial capital. The parallels are surprising when you think about it. The Chinese approach is not acceptable, but did that make the American approach in Afghanistan any more acceptable?
  • Anti-Asian-American violence. I continue to be a bit puzzled by this. I am not questioning its reality, it just doesn’t seem to be happening in the places or to the Asian-Americans I cross paths with. I wonder if it is really new or something like shark attacks that happens periodically and the media suddenly picked up on and made a big deal of for awhile. People could also be reporting it more often now that they feel someone is listening and something might be done about it.
  • Salem, Massachusetts witch tourism

Time person of the year Elon Musk

Hugo Drax…I mean…Elon Musk is Time’s man…I mean…person of the year for 2021. I guess I’m okay with it, since I am interested in electric cars, self-driving cars, and space travel.

He sees his mission as solving the globe’s most intractable challenges, along the way disrupting multiple industries across two decades. These include what was once the core American creation, combustion-engine automobiles, and what was once the core American aspiration, spaceflight, as well as a litany of other manifestations of our present and future: infrastructure construction, artificial intelligence, neurotechnology, payment systems and increasingly money itself through his dalliances with cryptocurrencies.

TIme

my holiday offering

According to The Onion, you should not attend your office holiday party. But if you choose to ignore that advice, you should under no circumstances give a six-hour lecture on how “Christmas” evolved from pagan winter solstice celebrations. Because “No way you can cover all the relevant material in less than eight. And remember to build in time for questions!”

I say make it a double header and add at least two hours on the pagan origins of Halloween (spoiler: it involves fairies). I can see how this can be annoying, but it is still more interesting than whatever it is that “normal” people jabber on about. Perhaps what we introverts fail to understand is that the jabbering itself is the point, and the content mostly irrelevant.

Happy holidays!

2021 garden retrospective

Here are a few random thoughts on this year’s growing season. We had our first below-freezing temperatures here in my Philadelphia neighborhood around November 20, which is 3 or so weeks later than “average” (although I’m not sure if what is reported is really the average, or something like a 30% probability to improve the odds a bit for farmers.)

I got my son a Venus fly trap for his birthday in May. They are native to the Carolinas, which is cool, although I bought this one from California Carnivores. We looked at it for awhile, then left it in our buggy backyard for the summer where it seemed to be very, very happy. It even flowered – now a Venus fly trap flower is not a particularly breathtaking flower, but I was excited nonetheless. Most of the time, there was plenty of rain to keep it wet, but I invested in a gallon of distilled water to top it up occasionally. As I write this in early December, I’ve brought it inside for the winter. I’ll continue to give it distilled water, and no matter how sad or even dead it starts to look, I’ll keep watering it and put it back out in the spring. I threw one away a few years ago thinking it was dead, and was horrified to read later that they naturally go dormant in the winter. They can also supposedly handle some light freezes (again, think Carolinas) but not an extended deep freeze, so it seemed safest to just bring it in. My research said to put it in an “unheated garage or entryway” for the winter, but my urban home has neither of these things.

a fuzzy photo of a Venus Fly Trap flower

The “dwarf” (advertised as 15-feet but 20+ feet tall and maybe still growing) Asian pear tree grew lots of pears this years, which the squirrels really enjoyed. I picked and ate one unripe one just to get something, but there were no ripe ones left when the squirrels were done with them. The annoying thing is that they don’t actually eat all that fruit, they take a bite or two out of each one and drop the rest on the ground to rot. Luckily, I find squirrel antics fairly amusing and my family is not starving as a result of the fruit they are depriving us of.

On the first day of Christmas, my true love sent to me…a squirrel in an Asian pear tree

The Asian persimmon tree grew exactly one persimmon this year. This tree is a bit younger (4 years?) so hopefully there is more to come. The squirrels didn’t eat it – maybe they just don’t know what it is – and it was delicious. I thought I had a photo but can’t seem to find one. I believe persimmons are the most delicious fruit that most Americans have never tried. And I don’t know why – the trees are compact, prolific, pest and disease free (the flip side of this is they probably don’t have much ecological value locally), cold tolerant (there are several Japanese varieties), and the fruit is absolutely mouth watering and yet very tough on the outside which seems like it would make for easy shipping. There are native American varieties, but be warned these grow into very big trees which is why I chose the Asian variety. By the way, I am generally partial to native species, but I have not found the right native tree species that works in my small urban garden. I want trees that provide a little bit of shade for the front of the house but leave sunny areas to grow other things, and that I can easily get under or around. My basic principle is that a plant should have at least one other function, whether an ecological function or a food function, other than just looking good. Of course, plants that have all these things are awesome! But like I said, I haven’t identified the perfect tree yet that fits that bill.

Around July, my garden was clear cut (other than the trees) by a gardener hired by a neighbor. And not just mowed, but scraped absolutely to the ground. I was upset, but it was actually kind of interesting to watch how it responded. It’s a perennial garden, so it mostly grew back quickly. More aggressive and resilient plants outcompeted the less aggressive ones for the most part. Interestingly, some plants that are normally aggressive, like Black Eyed Susan, were probably about to flower when they were whacked and apparently decided they were done for the year. I assume their roots are fine and they will be back. Wild strawberries by contrast loved being mowed and took over an entire corner of the garden. There is way too much lemon balm now, even though I like lemon balm. A neighbor actually bought me some native plant seedlings after it happened, which I found really touching. So now I have an aromatic Aster and a Hubricht’s Blue Star in my garden.

After the garden was clear cut, I talked to the neighbor that (inadvertently) did it, and we agreed that I would just take over part of her garden from now on. To get things going quickly, I’ve picked a prairie seed mix (most “prairie” plants are native to the entire U.S. east of the Rockies). I’ve put down some cardboard to suppress weeds from growing back, put a mix of homemade and store-bought compost on top of that, and plan to sprinkle the seeds over the winter and see what happens in the spring. The only issue is that at least one cat has decided this bare soil makes a nice litter box. I intended to plant a fall cover crop but work, family, and life intervened to prevent that project.

Each year, I like to pick a “try again” species and a “new species”. The try again species is usually something I have tried to start from seed in a previous year without success, and still have seeds left over in my basement. This year, I finally got a sea kale seedling going. Squirrels dug it up multiple times for some reason, and it seemed to wilt during a fall heat wave, but now as we enter December it looks incredibly happy and has even flowered. We’ll see what happens. My “new species” was goldenrod variety “Golden Fleece”. I got it from a nursery out west somewhere, but the variety was originally bred at the Mount Cuba center in Delaware, which is nearby where I live and on my list of places to eventually go. It is advertised as a ground cover less than 18″ high. It is flowering and looks happy out there.

In pots, I did cherry tomatoes, Thai basil (both the “holy” variety as Indian people tend to refer to it, which Thai people insist is just “normal” Thai basil, and the “sweet” variety as Thai people refer to it, which seed companies in the U.S. consider normal Thai basil.) Both taste and smell awesome, and are much more heat and drought tolerant than Italian basil, which tends to wilt and die on me if I go away on a summer weekend. I also tried a mini-version of a polyculture mentioned in the book “Gaia’s garden”, which was fun although it didn’t really go as planned.

this year’s pots

We had a groundhog. Not exactly a rare species, but a rare siting around our urban neighborhood so fairly exciting.

a furry friend

And finally, I loved this enormous sunchoke. It was not in my garden, but was likely spread by an enterprising squirrel from my garden to a neighbor’s garden, and then forgotten. I read The Dark Tower this summer, in which God is at least sometimes embodied as a rose bush. But I am not a big rose fan. If I were any sort of deity, I might choose to be a sunchoke.

an enormous sunchoke

Trends in Ecology and Evolution Horizon Scan

This might be the first best of/forecast article I have come across in 2021, which is a sign of the impending end times (of this calendar year). I can only read the abstract due to The Man’s “Intellectual Property Rights”, but here are a few things mentioned:

  • satellite megaconstellations
  • deep sea mining
  • floating photovoltaics
  • long-distance wireless energy
  • ammonia as a fuel source

Most of these seem fairly self-evident, although I was not immediately sure how you would use ammonia as a fuel source. A quick web search reminds me that it is hydrogen rich, so if you have a chemical or biological process that can separate the nitrogen from the hydrogen without requiring energy input, you can produce hydrogen which you could then burn or use in a fuel cell. Both ammonia and hydrogen are fairly dangerous gases, so you would want to be kind of careful or do this in out of the way industrial areas (typically out of the way of the upper and middle classes, that is…)

Project Syndicate predictions for 2021

And now the 2021 predictions are starting to roll in. I blew my one free Project Syndicate article for the month on this, which seems like an okay choice.

  • Covid-19 will recede as vaccines roll out, and the economy will recover. This seems to be a near-consensus, although there is one minority report. And the average growth rate of course hides inequalities, which have gotten worse.
  • As you might expect, lots of speculation about U.S. politics and what Biden will do, but most people expect a return to the pre-Trump status quo at the UN, WHO, Israel and Palestine, the Iran nuclear deal, the climate deal, and democracy/human rights rhetoric we mostly fail to live up to. Of course, there are newfound doubts about U.S. political stability in the medium- to long-term.
  • Renewable energy will continue to be cheap and competitive with fossil fuels.
  • Electric vehicles come up a couple times – the market is pulling, and there may be a big push because the U.S. is significantly behind many other countries on adoption. (My take: The electric and auto industries are behind this, and the oil industry presumably is not but nobody seems to care. Could this break their backs?)
  • U.S.-China tensions will ramp up! Or they’ll die down…the crystal ball is murky on this one.
  • North Korea likes to test new U.S. Presidents with a missile test or two.
  • Poverty and violence have gotten worse in Africa while the rest of the world has been distracted by other things.
  • The effects of food insecurity and extreme weather events are getting worse in developing countries.
  • Cash may be dead, and if so there is at least a three-way race to replace it – “private tokens, central bank digital currencies, and efforts to upgrade the current system”.